September 18, 2002
Product Realization
in the Defense
Aerospace Industry
Presented By:
Tom Shields
LAI
2 - Shields 091802 ? 2002 Massachusetts Institute of Technology
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Content
Content
? Part I
? General lean concepts in factory design
? Part II
? Introduction
? Manufacturing System Design Framework
? Validation research results
? Conclusions
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3 - Shields 091802 ? 2002 Massachusetts Institute of Technology
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Lean from the Toyota Production
System Shows How It All Relates
System Shows How It All Relates
J
I
T
J
I
D
O
K
A
Leveled & Balanced
Production
Cost control through the
elimination of waste
TPS
KaizenStandardized
Work
Right Qty
Right Mix
Right Time
Perfect
Quality
Engaged and Creative Workforce
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Aerospace Factory Designs
Have Many Things to Consider
Have Many Things to Consider
? Production volume
? Product mix
? Product design
? Frequency of changes
? Complexity
? Process capability
? Type of organization
? Worker skill/knowledge
? Cost
? Quality
? Performance
? Delivery
? Flexibility
? Innovativeness
Factory
Design
Input Output
Focus
Here
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Benefits from a Focus on Process
Rather Than Operation Improvements
Rather Than Operation Improvements
? Operations
? Value adding
? Transportation
? Delay (2 types)
? Inspection
? Factory Design
? Layout choices
? Operation policies
? Process Technology
? Tapping human
knowledge
X X
Store in
Warehouse
Move to
Staging
Store at
Staging
Move By
AGV
Machine
X X
Part B
Part A
O
p
e
r
a
t
i
o
n
Factory Design
I
X
Storage
Value Adding
Inspection
Transport
Types of Operations
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6 - Shields 091802 ? 2002 Massachusetts Institute of Technology
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Only Understood Processes
Can Be Improved
Can Be Improved
? Establish models and/or simulations to permit understanding
? Ensure process capability & maturation
? Maintain challenge of existing processes
Tools
? Five Whys
? Process flow charts
? Value stream mapping
? Statistical tools
? Data collection and discipline
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7 - Shields 091802 ? 2002 Massachusetts Institute of Technology
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Definite Boundaries Exist
Between Flow and Pull
Between Flow and Pull
Flow
? MRP used for planning and
control
? Group technology
? Reduce the number of flow
paths
? Batch or single items
? Inventory to buffer flow
? Process control
? Minimize space & distance
traveled with contiguous
processing established
Pull
? Takt time
? Balanced production
? Level production
? Response time less than
lead time
? Standard work
? Single item flow
? Correct problems
immediately - STOP if
necessary
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8 - Shields 091802 ? 2002 Massachusetts Institute of Technology
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Lean Tools Can Apply even if
JIT System Not Logical
JIT System Not Logical
? Value stream mapping
? Work groups to implement
change
? Visual displays and controls
? Error proofing
? Standardized work
? Quick changeover
? Total productive
maintenance
? Rapid problem solving
? Self inspection
? Five S’s
Source: J. Miltonburg, Manufacturing Strategy ?1995, p31.
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Part II
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Introduction
Introduction
? Matured aerospace industry
? Industrial innovation theory
? Implications on the aerospace industry
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1 - Shields - 091802 ? 2002 Massachusetts Institute of Technology
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Matured Aerospace Industry
? Customers demanding
specific capabilities
? Cost and affordability
more prominent
? Innovation
characteristics have
changed
Pictures taken from the Air Force Website (http://www.af.mil/)
12 - Shields 091802 ? 2002 Massachusetts Institute of Technology
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Utterback’s Dynamics of
Innovation Model
Innovation Model
? Rate of product innovation
highest during formative
years
? As product matures rate of
process innovation
overcomes product
innovation
? Very mature products have
low levels of both product
& process innovations
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13 - Shields 091802 ? 2002 Massachusetts Institute of Technology
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Theory in Application
Theory in Application
Number of Firms
Time
Fluid Phase:
Rapid technology
innovation,
many firms
founded
Transition Phase:
Shakeout, competition
shifts to process
Emergence of the
Dominant Design
Specific Phase:
Stable, small number of firms
competition shifts to price
Destabilizing changes in technology
or process can destroy industry!
Source: Data (cars), from Entry and Exit of Firms in the U.S. Auto
Industry: 1894-1992. National Academy of Science: theory
concepts from Utterback, Dynamics of Innovation, 1994
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0
10
20
30
40
50
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
1860 1880 1900 1920 1940 1960 1980 2000
Year
Aeronautics:
Jet transport and
jet fighter-bomber
Cars: enclosed
steel body
Typewriters:
Open, moving carriage
Natural
progression?
Government intervention
motivated by cold war
Number of major U.S.
Aerospace companies
Industrial evolution and the emergence
of the dominant design
Number of major
typewriter companies
80
60
40
20
Number of major
automobile companies
Extension of Theory to the
Extension of Theory to the
Aerospace Industry
Source: Murman, et al., Lean Enterprise Value, 2002
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17 - Shields 091802 ? 2002 Massachusetts Institute of Technology
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Implications for the Aerospace
Industry
? Producibility and cost are more competitive factors
? Manufacturing inputs should carry more weight
? Emphasis should be on process innovation
? Firm core competencies must match industrial maturity
? Manufacturing strategy cannot be stepchild to platform
strategy
Result: Heritage equipment, facilities and
mindsets drive manufacturing system design
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18 - Shields 091802 ? 2002 Massachusetts Institute of Technology
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Proposal
Proposal
Characteristics
? Uses principles of systems engineering
? Visual depiction of “design beyond factory floor” ideas
? Manufacturing as part of the product strategy
? Manufacturing system design is strategy driven, not product
design driven
? Combines multiple useful tools
? Provides insights into order and interactions
A holistic manufacturing system design framework
to ensure process considerations are integral
to the product development process
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19 - Shields 091802 ? 2002 Massachusetts Institute of Technology
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Manufacturing System Design
Design
? Manufacturing system “infrastructure” design
? Manufacturing strategy
? Operating policy
? Partnerships (suppliers)
? Organization structure details
? Manufacturing system “structure” design
? Buildings, location, capacity
? Machine selection
? Layout
? WIP
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Stakeholders
Corporate Level
Business Unit
Product Strategy
Suppliers Product Design Design Manufacturing Marketinging
[Interpret]
[Seek approval]
Manufacturing System Design
Design
`
Society Employees Mgmt Govt.Suppliers Customers Stockholders
(Corporate Strategy)
(Business Strategy)
Stakeholders
Corporate Level
Business Unit
Product Strategy
Suppliers ProductProduct DesignDesign Manufacturing Marketinging
Requirements/Considerations/Constraints
Manufacturing System Design/Selection
Implement (pilot)
Evaluate/Validate
Rate Production
[Interpret]
[Seek approval]
DFMA,IPT
3-DCE
Concurrent Engineering
? VSM
? Kaizen
? Trial & Error
? Kaikaku
- Miltenburg, - 3P, - 2D plots,
- MSDD, - AMSDD design Kaizen
Manufacturing System Design
Design
Modifications
Fine Tune
Finalized Product Design
Make/Buy
Risk-sharing Partnerships
- Analytical Tools,
- Simulation Tools
Customer Needs
Technical Feasibility
Feasible performance guarantees
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Stakeholders
Corporate Level
Business Unit
Product Strategy
Suppliers ProductProduct DesignDesign Manufacturing Marketinging
Requirements/Considerations/Constraints
Manufacturing System Design/Selection
Implement (pilot)
Evaluate/Validate
Rate Production
[Interpret]
[Seek approval]
DFMA, IPT
3-DCE
Concurrent Engineering
? VSM
? Kaizen
? Trial & Error
? Kaikaku
- Miltenburg, - 3P, - 2D plots,
- MSDD - AMSDD design Kaizen
Manufacturing System Design
Design
Modifications
Fine Tune
Finalized Product Design
Make/Buy
Risk-sharing Partnerships
- Analytical Tools,
- Simulation Tools
Customer Needs
Technical Feasibility
Feasible performance guarantees
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23 - Shields 091802 ? 2002 Massachusetts Institute of Technology
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Insights from the Framework
Insights from the Framework
? Linkage of strategy and manufacturing
system design
? Three important characteristics
? Phase presence
? Phase timing
? Breadth across functions
Hypothesis: following the framework process will result in
the development of effective manufacturing system
that meets the goals of the corporation
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24 - Shields 091802 ? 2002 Massachusetts Institute of Technology
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Framework Validation
Framework Validation
Research Design
? Case study - 14 assembly sites (6 aerostructures, 2
electronics, 2 launch vehicles & 4 space)
? Real time “fly on the wall”
? Retrospective
Method
? Structured interview to assess framework
congruence
? Strategy linkage
? Phase presence, timing and breadth
? Performance metric (actual/planned)
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25 - Shields 091802 ? 2002 Massachusetts Institute of Technology
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Framework Validation Results
Framework Validation Results
Framework Congruence versus Performance
Framework Congruence
20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
A
c
t
u
al/
P
lanned P
e
rf
ormance
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
R
2
= 0.71
Group 2
Group 1
Ac
t
ual/
P
lanned Per
f
orm
ance
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26 - Shields 091802 ? 2002 Massachusetts Institute of Technology
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Scoring Breakdown
Scoring Breakdown
Framework Congruence Phase Presence Timing Breadth
96 25.90 30.71 39.38
94 25.90 30.00 38.05
91.9 22.48 29.00 40.38
81.7 18.57 26.62 36.62
78.3 23.24 24.19 30.86
77.67 20.90 25.90 30.86
69 21.24 26.62 21.19
57 17.24 19.76 20.14
53.5 13.33 15.90 24.29
50.3 12.33 17.90 20.14
45.3 15.00 18.76 12.29
26.73 7.33 11.76 7.67
Group 1
Group 2
How important are the different aspects?
? Which of Phase Presence, Timing or Breadth
impacted the ability of the system to meet its
planned performance?
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27 - Shields 091802 ? 2002 Massachusetts Institute of Technology
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Determinants of Performance
Determinants of Performance
Breadth Score versus Performance
Breadth Score
5 10 5 0 5 0 5 0 5
A
c
t
u
al/
P
lanned P
e
rf
ormance
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
Group 1
Group 2
Ac
t
ual/
P
lanned Per
f
orm
ance
-
1 2 2 3 3 4 4
28 - Shields 091802 ? 2002 Massachusetts Institute of Technology
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Strategy Presence Results
Strategy Presence Results
Existence of Strategy versus Framework Congruence
Existence of Manufacturing Strategy
Framework Congruence
0
20
40
60
80
100
No Strategy Present Strategy Present
Group 1
Framew
ork Congruence
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29 - Shields 091802 ? 2002 Massachusetts Institute of Technology
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Conclusions
Conclusions
? Competitive advantage from manufacturing
excellence (enterprise strategy)
? Performance more closely related to how
system designed (not production volume)
? Manufacturing as a true participating partner
with the other functions (coequal status)
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